Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.112683 0.124805 0.137257 0.150975 0.165634 0.180802 0.197654
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.095746 0.114257 0.134237 0.157274 0.182974 0.210636 0.242531
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080090 0.102314 0.127389 0.157463 0.192237 0.230878 0.276751
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066348 0.090462 0.118822 0.154072 0.196135 0.244171 0.302608
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.059943 0.086312 0.118405 0.159448 0.209646 0.268179 0.340702
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.054064 0.081991 0.117086 0.163152 0.220747 0.289148 0.375250
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.048609 0.077534 0.115014 0.165427 0.229743 0.307402 0.406548
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.043393 0.072795 0.112061 0.166132 0.236447 0.322671 0.434193
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042786 0.074336 0.117351 0.177529 0.256784 0.354960 0.483018
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039242 0.071279 0.116110 0.180064 0.265604 0.372867 0.514197
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036479 0.069090 0.115838 0.183723 0.275791 0.392499 0.547650
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032617 0.064840 0.112321 0.182662 0.279538 0.403810 0.570620
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031432 0.064897 0.115267 0.191030 0.296582 0.433183 0.617855
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030345 0.065044 0.118369 0.199757 0.314398 0.464005 0.667618
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027378 0.061734 0.116021 0.200481 0.321159 0.480342 0.698849
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023690 0.056762 0.110757 0.196645 0.321370 0.487890 0.718658
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022583 0.056286 0.112474 0.203102 0.336041 0.514847 0.764087
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.021158 0.055061 0.112876 0.207524 0.347840 0.538043 0.804781
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.019533 0.053271 0.112214 0.210230 0.357158 0.557931 0.841254
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017728 0.050911 0.110430 0.211070 0.363707 0.574046 0.872804
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018187 0.053218 0.116651 0.224549 0.388870 0.615982 0.939298
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.016905 0.051744 0.116260 0.227541 0.398654 0.636781 0.977563
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.015926 0.050806 0.116725 0.231856 0.410407 0.660393 1.019800